Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 84.207995 94.123760 104.257435 115.357862 127.145328 139.260446 152.624885
2025-02-09 67.998434 82.161632 97.280651 114.497554 133.441035 153.538628 176.363603
2025-02-16 57.752137 74.123989 92.185126 113.335896 137.186332 163.030519 192.938320
2025-02-23 51.094306 69.165083 89.674439 114.257888 142.533718 173.686196 210.260227
2025-03-02 45.152106 64.346238 86.723890 114.125221 146.204235 182.062645 224.684433
2025-03-09 40.614611 60.741660 84.794991 114.815399 150.507068 190.901688 239.417070
2025-03-16 35.773528 56.317638 81.511522 113.569277 152.270461 196.603178 250.382103
2025-03-23 32.916956 54.163848 80.795464 115.227094 157.310662 205.982806 265.489758
2025-03-30 30.539397 52.427354 80.433883 117.178526 162.593869 215.571326 280.791340
2025-04-06 27.304051 49.266626 78.045566 116.433423 164.470449 221.032977 291.188892
2025-04-13 23.726202 45.331965 74.412523 113.912214 164.002072 223.569133 298.032106
2025-04-20 22.788006 45.105162 75.635819 117.553266 171.123018 235.193391 315.644741
2025-04-27 21.503229 44.298934 76.055638 120.173041 177.029648 245.449154 331.771798
2025-05-04 19.068163 41.558865 73.687576 119.038488 178.141950 249.841706 340.867703
2025-05-11 16.871671 38.990209 71.405466 117.889201 179.132579 254.007775 349.631077
2025-05-18 15.493776 37.617505 70.732040 118.826968 182.743410 261.364783 362.237713
2025-05-25 13.940305 35.809990 69.327818 118.692142 184.910925 266.897278 372.605150
2025-06-01 12.743165 34.502803 68.580607 119.398727 188.130432 273.713475 384.528827
2025-06-08 11.167247 32.360889 66.470456 118.122683 188.683322 277.146506 392.273924
2025-06-15 10.412926 31.658795 66.503875 119.820310 193.140864 285.480558 406.054118
2025-06-22 9.779987 31.127965 66.765567 121.818320 197.987401 294.307718 420.457187
2025-06-29 8.626714 29.448792 65.141022 121.055470 199.098815 298.370333 428.943248
2025-07-06 7.241967 27.107105 62.329327 118.473871 197.682205 299.152335 433.304440